US’s Fire on Dead Satellite Could Hit Int’l Space Station

1 in 1000 chance:

The ‘shot’ — that’s what Ambassador James Jeffrey called the decision to use an an Aegis SM-3 to try to shoot down satellite USA 193 in the next 3-12 days. Last I checked, the Space Shutle’s PRAN (probability risk assessment number, of complete loss of life) was 1 in 100. Extrapolating, there would be only a 1 in 1000 chance of wiping out the ISS.